Lululemon
Stock Earnings Yield and Price Change using P/S Ratios (Model YLD‑STK‑PS)
@SimSim 7 months ago
This model simulates the Earnings Yield and Price Change of a stock. Future share-prices are simulated using P/S (Price-To-Sales) ratios so the earnings can be zero or negative. The excess cash are assumed to be paid out immediately as dividends.
This model only simulates a single period of earnings and share-prices. If you need to simulate multiple periods then use another model instead.
Keywords: DEMO LULU
- Sales (2023)
- Net Profit Margin (2008-2023)
- P/S (2009-2023)
This plot shows the probability distributions for the simulations.
- This histogram shows the simulated Earnings Yield, when the current share-price is USD 240.
- Out of 100k simulation trials 100% had valid results. Outliers >10.0 IQR are removed.
- This histogram shows the simulated price change, when the current share-price is USD 240.
- Out of 100k simulation trials 100% had valid results. Outliers >10.0 IQR are removed.
- This 2D histogram shows how different share-prices would impact the Earnings Yield.
- Out of 100k simulation trials 100% had valid results. Outliers >10.0 IQR are removed.
- The x-axis shows a range of share-prices around the current share-price of USD 240, which is marked as a dashed blue line.
- The red box at the bottom shows the probability of loss if the current share-price is USD 240.
- This 2D histogram shows how different current share-prices would impact the price change.
- Out of 100k simulation trials 100% had valid results. Outliers >10.0 IQR are removed.
- The x-axis shows a range of share-prices around the current share-price of USD 240, which is marked as a dashed blue line.
- The red box at the bottom shows the probability of loss if the current share-price is USD 240.
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{"constant": "64.273%", "interpolate": false, "normal_mean": "64.273%", "normal_std": "63.219%", "selected": "user_data", "uniform_hi": "283.94%", "uniform_lo": "-83.004%", "user_data": "-81.169% ; 0.025%\n-77.5% ; 0.069%\n-73.83% ; 0.162%\n-70.161% ; 0.256%\n-66.491% ; 0.31%\n-62.822% ; 0.382%\n-59.153% ; 0.371%\n-55.483% ; 0.341%\n-51.814% ; 0.262%\n-48.144% ; 0.229%\n-44.475% ; 0.243%\n-40.806% ; 0.265%\n-37.136% ; 0.298%\n-33.467% ; 0.394%\n-29.797% ; 0.459%\n-26.128% ; 0.525%\n-22.459% ; 0.683%\n-18.789% ; 0.876%\n-15.12% ; 1.208%\n-11.45% ; 1.595%\n-7.781% ; 1.977%\n-4.1116% ; 2.089%\n-0.44224% ; 2.295%\n3.2272% ; 2.426%\n6.8966% ; 2.38%\n10.566% ; 2.371%\n14.235% ; 2.325%\n17.905% ; 2.175%\n21.574% ; 2.236%\n25.244% ; 2.39%\n28.913% ; 2.392%\n32.582% ; 2.601%\n36.252% ; 2.632%\n39.921% ; 2.711%\n43.591% ; 2.645%\n47.26% ; 2.463%\n50.929% ; 2.313%\n54.599% ; 2.186%\n58.268% ; 1.944%\n61.938% ; 1.934%\n65.607% ; 1.75%\n69.276% ; 1.676%\n72.946% ; 1.64%\n76.615% ; 1.647%\n80.285% ; 1.779%\n83.954% ; 1.682%\n87.623% ; 1.77%\n91.293% ; 1.757%\n94.962% ; 1.762%\n98.632% ; 1.592%\n102.3% ; 1.531%\n105.97% ; 1.533%\n109.64% ; 1.407%\n113.31% ; 1.368%\n116.98% ; 1.303%\n120.65% ; 1.219%\n124.32% ; 1.122%\n127.99% ; 1.147%\n131.66% ; 1.083%\n135.33% ; 1.066%\n138.99% ; 0.913%\n142.66% ; 0.941%\n146.33% ; 0.852%\n150% ; 0.954%\n153.67% ; 0.865%\n157.34% ; 0.839%\n161.01% ; 0.788%\n164.68% ; 0.761%\n168.35% ; 0.776%\n172.02% ; 0.712%\n175.69% ; 0.688%\n179.36% ; 0.619%\n183.03% ; 0.613%\n186.7% ; 0.557%\n190.37% ; 0.546%\n194.04% ; 0.491%\n197.71% ; 0.414%\n201.37% ; 0.431%\n205.04% ; 0.334%\n208.71% ; 0.261%\n212.38% ; 0.241%\n216.05% ; 0.189%\n219.72% ; 0.207%\n223.39% ; 0.147%\n227.06% ; 0.098%\n230.73% ; 0.098%\n234.4% ; 0.086%\n238.07% ; 0.068%\n241.74% ; 0.042%\n245.41% ; 0.039%\n249.08% ; 0.03%\n252.75% ; 0.023%\n256.42% ; 0.037%\n260.09% ; 0.027%\n263.75% ; 0.02%\n267.42% ; 0.011%\n271.09% ; 0.005%\n274.76% ; 0.002%\n278.43% ; 0.002%\n282.1% ; 0.001%\n"}
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