Lululemon

Stock Earnings Yield and Price Change using P/S Ratios (Model YLD‑STK‑PS)

@SimSim 7 months ago

This model simulates the Earnings Yield and Price Change of a stock. Future share-prices are simulated using P/S (Price-To-Sales) ratios so the earnings can be zero or negative. The excess cash are assumed to be paid out immediately as dividends.

This model only simulates a single period of earnings and share-prices. If you need to simulate multiple periods then use another model instead.

Docs Related Models

Keywords: DEMO LULU

  • Sales (2023)
  • Net Profit Margin (2008-2023)
  • P/S (2009-2023)

These plots show the probability distributions for the simulations.
  • This plot shows the simulated Earnings Yield, when the current share-price is USD 240.
  • 100% of 100k simulation trials had valid results. Outliers >10.0 IQR are removed.
  • This plot shows the simulated price change, when the current share-price is USD 240.
  • 100% of 100k simulation trials had valid results. Outliers >10.0 IQR are removed.
  • This plot shows how different current share-prices would impact the Earnings Yield.
  • 100% of 100k simulation trials had valid results. Outliers >10.0 IQR are removed.
  • The x-axis shows a range of share-prices around the current share-price of USD 240, which is marked as a dashed blue line.
  • The red box at the bottom shows the probability of loss if the current share-price is USD 240.
  • This plot shows how different current share-prices would impact the price change.
  • 100% of 100k simulation trials had valid results. Outliers >10.0 IQR are removed.
  • The x-axis shows a range of share-prices around the current share-price of USD 240, which is marked as a dashed blue line.
  • The red box at the bottom shows the probability of loss if the current share-price is USD 240.
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